基于条件的估计
从现在开始,根据当前的天气测量结果,在一分钟之内,你认为天气多云的概率最好的估计值是多少?
P(cloudy | measurement) < 0.05
0.05 < P(cloudy | measurement) < 0.20
0.20 < P(cloudy | measurement) < 0.40
0.40 < P(cloudy | measurement) < 0.60
0.60 < P(cloudy | measurement) < 0.80
0.80 < P(cloudy | measurement) < 0.95
P(cloudy | measurement) > 0.95
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